![]() Having being right now 0.25″ above normal, Fall 2021 is remaining above normal regardless of these long periods without rainfall. For example, Los Angeles usually averages near 15″ of rain a year. SUPER LONG RANGE: There are indications this season, as I stated before, in both sectors, will have average to slightly below average rainfall numbers. As stated before, this season does have the pattern for low-elevation snowfall events. Would not be surprised to see some photographs of snowfall near the foothills of the metros in both Southern California and Arizona with this go around. I am confident that the end of the period, before this forecast period is over, that a low-elevation snowfall event will hit, which means heavy snow in the Prescott/Payson areas of Arizona, Las Vegas, and into the Metro High Desert of Southern Califo5rnia, possibly even further down in both regions. The pattern in October had a storm hit west of the area, which means the next system in the three to four week storm pattern period would take the same route and therefore drag arctic air down. Such a pattern brings arctic air down into the region toward the end of the period. IMAGE IN POST: The image shows what will happen as an average and as you can see, the precipitation average actually is not for most of this month… it is telling me that the last part of the forecast will have the storm pattern so do not get excited on it till end month, we still have a long and boring November to go before that verifies. This is why I said we will need to brave a boring and warm November up till Thanksgiving, where the pattern will shift. ![]() This is telling me that as the jet stream stabilizes after Thanksgiving, the pattern will take a shift and bring cooler than stormier conditions to the region, which probably more so is for end month and first week of December. The oceans north of Hawaii still do have warmer than normal temperatures, but the sector is further west than usual. There will be a couple offshore Santa Ana Wind Events for Southern California and some offshore events in Arizona for the metros, but the jet stream overall is very strong and to the north, which usually does limit the damaging wind events in the Southwest United States. Storms passing to the north will spin up ridges of high pressure, pretty uncommon for the month, keeping those temperatures up. This was posted on both Arizona and Southern California Weather Force so I will split it down into parts so read very carefully …Ītmosphere Synopsis for November 2021 – The atmosphere is behaving in a way that the month will be above average in temperatures for the most part, in all areas. After what I will call a roller coaster of a month in terms of temperatures, along with boring weather, what one has to get through to get to the finish line where storm patterns capable of low elevation snow await, here is your one month forecast valid now through the first week of December so read on for details …
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